Prediction Markets Are Over-converging Toward Unsustainable Short-term Betting
Are prediction markets are over-converging toward unsustainable short-term betting? Are they a kind …
Prediction Market Terminology
2,172 words, 11 minutes read time. Prediction markets borrow language from finance, betting, and sur…
Be Wary Of Prediction Markets: Insider Trading Reveals Truths
In a world where we’ve got endless scrolling, remote work, and way too much downtime, whatR…
hobbyjoy’s Prediction Market Portal As Progressive Web App
1/14/2026Progressive Web Apps (PWA) are the new middle ground between responsive but often slow webs…
Bayesian Statistics: What Is It?
We're huddled over coffee in some interdisciplinary seminar room, trading notes on Hume's induction …
How Prediction Markets Differ From Trading Futures
Prediction markets are the shiny new toy in the gambling sandbox, where bored billionaires and armch…
Will Religion Die Or Adapt
Prediction markets—what a sly lens to refract our eternal tussle with the human condition. Will reli…
The Two Ways to Profit & Finding Your Edge
Beginners, be aware of the two fundamental approaches to making money, and how to find that personal…
The Core Idea: Price = Probability
The core idea is that the price of a contract indicates what the entire market currently believes is…
